ilmscore | US Tariffs Impact Predictions
N/A
Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 24
Correct: 1
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 23
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
If the Supreme Court rules against Trump's tariffs, the US may have to refund collected tariff amounts.
"if the court order goes against Trump and if it is said that you can't charge such tariffs then on p..."
Jan 8, 2026
Pending
US agricultural exports are experiencing a significant decline.
"Agricultural exports are in freeall."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
US manufacturing jobs are being lost at an accelerated rate, exceeding the depletion of pre-tariff inventory.
"Manufacturing jobs disappearing faster than pre-tariff inventory."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Apple anticipates a $1.1 billion financial impact in the current quarter due to tariffs.
"Apple warned of a $1.1 billion impact in the current quarter alone."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
GM incurred a $1.1 billion loss from tariffs in Q2, resulting in a 32-35% profit decrease.
"GM reported a $1.1 billion hit from tariffs in Q2, contributing to profits falling 32 to 35%."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The average American household will incur an extra $2,400 in expenses in 2025 due to Trump's tariffs.
"The average American household is facing $2,400 in additional costs from Trump's tariffs in 2025."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Canadian lumber tariffs are significantly increasing housing costs, adding thousands to the price of new homes.
"Housing costs, meanwhile, have exploded as Canadian lumber tariffs add thousands to new home prices."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
A 1.4% rise in computer prices in June indicates underlying technology inflation is developing.
"Computer prices rose 1.4% in June. A seemingly modest increase that masks the broader technology inf..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Tariffs on semiconductor components are exacerbating existing supply chain issues, leading to increased prices.
"Semiconductors already constrained by supply chain disruptions are facing new price pressures from t..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Apple and Microsoft anticipate reduced profit margins due to tariffs, potentially impacting innovation and consumer prices.
"Tech giants like Apple and Microsoft are warning of significant margin compression, threatening both..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
US tariffs are based on the IEEPA, with the administration claiming a national emergency due to the trade deficit to bypass Congress.
"The entire structure rests on the International Emergency Economic Powers Act or IEEPA. The administ..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
A lower court has ruled that Trump exceeded his presidential authority regarding tariffs.
"A lower court already ruled Trump exceeded his powers."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The Port of Los Angeles anticipates disruptions as importers rush to avoid tariff increases, causing infrastructure strain.
"The Port of Los Angeles is warning of disruptions. Importers racing to beat increases are creating d..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Average US households are experiencing a $2,400 reduction in finances due to tariffs.
"Average households are down $2,400."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Increased paperwork, frequent tariff classification changes via executive tweets, and evolving customs guidance are creating significant compliance challenges.
"The paperwork burden is meanwhile reaching epic proportions. Tariff classifications are changing by ..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
US manufacturing PMI is in contraction (48%), services are borderline (struggling above 50), and consumer confidence is declining due to tariff impacts.
"The manufacturing PMI has registered 48% firmly in contraction territory. Services are struggling to..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
US companies are cutting capital expenditures, and hiring freezes are expanding beyond tech into other industries.
"Capital expenditures plans are being slashed. The hiring freeze that began in tech is spreading acro..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The push for domestic manufacturing and the use of tariffs will lead to increased costs.
"Now when you want to manufacture yourself or put in tariffs which is now the buzz word. Correct. Eve..."
Jun 14, 2025
Correct
The average US tariff rate, after a pause, is projected to be 24%, down from a pre-pause projection of 27%, which is still the highest in over a century.
"before Trump's pause the average US tariff rate was set to reach 27% the highest in more than a cent..."
Apr 16, 2025
Pending
Canada's retaliatory tariffs are specifically targeting products from US 'red states'.
"Canada announced this as well and they've pinpointed the tariffs to particular products that are pro..."
Feb 3, 2025
Pending
Donald Trump is threatening to impose tariffs on the EU, potentially starting today.
"Trump is also threatening tariffs on the EU I think he's saying that they may uh they may be coming ..."
Feb 3, 2025
Pending
Mexico is considering 'carousel retaliation' where US products subject to tariffs will be periodically rotated.
"Mexico is also considering Carousel retaliation so basically periodically rotate the US products tha..."
Feb 3, 2025
Pending
Donald Trump announced tariffs: 25% on Canadian and Mexican imports (10% on Canadian energy), and an additional 10% on China.
"Trump announced these tariffs on um three countries firstly Canada and Mexico 25% levy on Imports 10..."
Feb 3, 2025
Pending
Donald Trump's actions suggest a desire for Canada to become the 51st state of the US.
"Trump really I mean he really wants Canada to become a 51st State"
Feb 3, 2025
Pending